Manama 0-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.75
Over
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manama EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
0.72/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.29
-42% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-0 HT 1-0 Manama Manama BAH
22.04.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
25.02.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-1 HT 2-0 Manama Manama BAHKK
10.11.2023 Manama Manama 2-3 HT 2-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
14.05.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
27.01.2023 Manama Manama 5-1 HT 4-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manama
0-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manama vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama nicked a narrow win over Manama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Manama as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Manama had 47% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Manama and 1.67 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Manama vs Al Ahli Manama?

Manama 0-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manama vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manama 31%, draw 28%, Al Ahli Manama 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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