Khalidiya 1-2 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 33%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.00/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.94
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Muharraq
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
23.11.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
04.03.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
26.02.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAHKK
29.09.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
19.02.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
1-2
AWAY Muharraq
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq edged past Khalidiya 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Muharraq made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Khalidiya had 54% of the ball to Muharraq's 46%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Khalidiya and 0.83 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Muharraq?

Khalidiya 1-2 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 35%, draw 31%, Muharraq 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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