Skive IK 0-2 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
13%
3.85
6+ Goals
12%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 38% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.6pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.6pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.07/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Naestved
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Naestved Naestved 3-3 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
28.09.2024 Skive IK Skive IK 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
03.04.2022 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
07.08.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
27.06.2020 Skive IK Skive IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
20.10.2019 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
0-2
AWAY Naestved
46% Ball Possession 54%
1 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved got the better of Skive IK 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 33% — and on the day Naestved made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Skive IK had 46% of the ball to Naestved's 54%, shots finished 1-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Skive IK and 1.17 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Naestved?

Skive IK 0-2 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 33%, draw 35%, Naestved 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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