SalPa Salo 1-2 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 25% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+11.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-11.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/3.00
+11% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-3D-2L
AWAY PK-35 ry
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
14.09.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-0 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
27.07.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 0-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
27.05.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
15.06.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-2
AWAY PK-35 ry
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry squeezed past SalPa Salo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; PK-35 ry found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 54% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 46%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for SalPa Salo and 0.80 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs PK-35 ry?

SalPa Salo 1-2 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 38%, draw 25%, PK-35 ry 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SalPa Salo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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