PK-35 ry 1-0 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 32% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
23%
+12.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.0pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.85/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
-11% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
1W-2D-0L
AWAY SalPa Salo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 0-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
27.05.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
15.06.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
1-0
AWAY SalPa Salo
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry edged past SalPa Salo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; PK-35 ry found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 40% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 60%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PK-35 ry and 0.67 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs SalPa Salo?

PK-35 ry 1-0 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 41%, draw 23%, SalPa Salo 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PK-35 ry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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