SJK Akatemia 2-3 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
46%
1.89
4-5 Goals
19%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 25% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.4pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.05/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.85
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
20.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
06.04.2024 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
25.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-2 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FINYK
28.06.2023 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
14.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Akatemia
2-3
AWAY Jaro
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro edged past SJK Akatemia 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SJK Akatemia had 53% of the ball to Jaro's 47%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SJK Akatemia and 0.83 for Jaro.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs Jaro?

SJK Akatemia 2-3 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 30%, draw 24%, Jaro 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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