Shatin SA 4-0 Tuen Mun SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.31
No
38%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.2pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 24%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.59/2.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/5.00
-30% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -62%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.09.2024 Tuen Mun SA Tuen Mun SA 3-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
4-0
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Tuen Mun SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA cruised past Tuen Mun SA 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shatin SA as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Shatin SA had 49% of the ball to Tuen Mun SA's 51%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Tuen Mun SA?

Shatin SA 4-0 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Tuen Mun SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 56%, draw 18%, Tuen Mun SA 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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