Yuen Long 0-0 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.62/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/0.60
-12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.11.2024 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 1-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
26.09.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-1 HT 0-1 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
0-0
AWAY Sham Shui Po
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long and Sham Shui Po fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yuen Long had 63% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 37%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yuen Long and 1.00 for Sham Shui Po.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Sham Shui Po?

Yuen Long 0-0 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 43%, draw 26%, Sham Shui Po 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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