Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
3-2
HT 3-0
Willem II
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Sittard edged past Willem II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 51% of the ball to Willem II's 49%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.59 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Sittard's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 0.83 for Willem II.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II?
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 47%, draw 23%, Willem II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.