Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
2-3
HT 1-1
Heerenveen
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
0-1
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
Heerenveen edged past NEC Nijmegen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Heerenveen made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Heerenveen had 50% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 50%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.58 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Heerenveen and 1.50 for NEC Nijmegen.
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 40%, draw 26%, NEC Nijmegen 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.