NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 Oct 2024

NEC Nijmegen
3-0 HT 1-0
Heerenveen
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.31
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
15%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.51
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
20%
4.58
X/2
10%
7.89
X/X
9%
5.36
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
13%
5.38
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.84/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.7 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
07.10.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 1-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
06.05.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-3 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
04.09.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-0 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
13.02.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
06.11.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL

NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
3-0
AWAY Heerenveen
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
341 Passes 489
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen ran out comfortable winners over Heerenveen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 44% of the ball to Heerenveen's 56%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.83 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?

NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 47%, draw 22%, Heerenveen 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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