Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
11%
3.96
X/2
8%
9.18
X/X
9%
5.16
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
12%
7.11
2/X
11%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.66/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.60
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +71%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
25.2 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Almere City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.00 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
293 Passes 261
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Almere City Almere City 2-3 HT 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
05.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL
15.03.2019 Almere City Almere City 1-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
07.12.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 6-1 HT 2-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
14.03.2016 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
06.11.2015 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 HT 2-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
2-2
AWAY Almere City
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
527 Passes 141
84% Pass Accuracy 58%
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam and Almere City shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 71% of the ball to Almere City's 29%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.50 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Almere City?

Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 49%, draw 25%, Almere City 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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