RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 Oct 2024

RKC Waalwijk
2-2 HT 1-1
Twente
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
12.75
1/2
8%
21.0
1/X
8%
20.9
X/1
8%
17.1
X/2
19%
3.55
X/X
8%
7.79
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.57
2/X
5%
20.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
12%
+11.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
0.85/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.23
-25% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +44%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
218 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 85%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
15.0 Crosses 21.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

RKC Waalwijk vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Twente
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.71 xG 2.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
24.09.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
21.05.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-5 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
30.10.2022 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
25.02.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
12.12.2021 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2-2
AWAY Twente
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
233 Passes 477
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk and Twente shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Twente at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 34% of the ball to Twente's 66%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 2.50 for Twente.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Twente?

RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 24%, draw 21%, Twente 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Twente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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