INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-13.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.56/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.35
+17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.12.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1 HT 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
31.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
3-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) beat Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 60% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 40%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) and 1.50 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 56%, draw 23%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
27 Apr 2025
07:00 Albirex Niigata (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K) Analysis →
09:00 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Analysis →