Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.65/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.19
+26% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +82%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
10.12.2023 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
3-0
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) swept aside AS Elfen Saitama (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 65% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 35%, shots finished 21-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 0.00 for AS Elfen Saitama (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 57%, draw 23%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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