Albirex Niigata (K) 2-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Albirex Niigata (K) win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.53/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.79
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
15.09.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
21.04.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 4-1 HT 3-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
26.11.2023 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
2-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) squeezed past Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 56% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 44%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 0.67 for Parceiro Nagano (K).

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 2-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 59%, draw 22%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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