Celaya 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒05:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.82
Over
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
34%
4-5
28%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Celaya win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.70/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.84
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +91%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
0W-2D-1L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
24.04.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
16.03.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 0-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
29.09.2024 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya and CDS Tampico Madero played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celaya at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Celaya and 0.33 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of Celaya vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Celaya 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celaya 57%, draw 24%, CDS Tampico Madero 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Celaya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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