Moss 4-2 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

Moss
4-2 HT 3-0
Stabaek
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.15
Over Pick
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.01
2-3
37%
1.83
4-5
29%
2.92
6+
12%
8.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+10.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.48/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.67
+2% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stabaek
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.07.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 1-4 HT 1-2 Moss Moss NOR1
11.05.2024 Moss Moss 3-3 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
03.05.2018 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOK
24.08.2005 Stabaek Stabaek 0-1 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
05.05.2005 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
23.06.2004 Stabaek Stabaek 3-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOK
POST-MATCH Moss vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss got the better of Stabaek 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moss and 1.17 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Moss vs Stabaek?

Moss 4-2 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moss 47%, draw 21%, Stabaek 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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