Stabaek 1-4 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

Stabaek
1-4 HT 1-2
Moss
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.13/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.90
+29% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Moss
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Moss Moss 3-3 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
03.05.2018 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOK
24.08.2005 Stabaek Stabaek 0-1 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
05.05.2005 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
23.06.2004 Stabaek Stabaek 3-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
1-4
AWAY Moss
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss ran out comfortable winners over Stabaek 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Moss made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Stabaek had 55% of the ball to Moss's 45%, shots finished 17-19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Stabaek and 1.00 for Moss.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Moss?

Stabaek 1-4 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 40%, draw 27%, Moss 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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