Aalesund 2-3 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.83
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.6
6+ Goals
17%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.2pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.85/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.33/2.16
-48% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Egersunds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.04.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 3-1 HT 2-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds squeezed past Aalesund 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Egersunds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Egersunds?

Aalesund 2-3 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 36%, draw 25%, Egersunds 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Egersunds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Egersunds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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