Pors Grenland 2-1 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 31% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.39
-35% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pors Grenland edged past Lysekloster 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Pors Grenland found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Lysekloster?

Pors Grenland 2-1 Lysekloster in the Norway - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pors Grenland win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 39%, draw 22%, Lysekloster 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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