Club Guarani 2-1 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.11/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
30.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.04.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
03.02.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-4 HT 1-3 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
19.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 4-0 HT 2-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
2-1
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani edged past Nacional Asuncion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Club Guarani made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Guarani had 36% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 64%, shots finished 6-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Guarani and 1.17 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?

Club Guarani 2-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 38%, draw 27%, Nacional Asuncion 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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