Kızılyıldız 5-2 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.7pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.77/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.33
+56% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
44.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
28.0 Crosses 17.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
3W-0D-0L
AWAY OFK Beograd
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.05 xG 0.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
471 Passes 232
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 3-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
26.03.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-3 HT 3-3 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRBK
10.11.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
5-2
AWAY OFK Beograd
2.40 xG 2.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
420 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız ran out comfortable winners over OFK Beograd 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 60% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 40%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.40 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.33 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd?

Kızılyıldız 5-2 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 65%, draw 18%, OFK Beograd 17%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
27 Apr 2025
20:30 FK Partizan vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Analysis →
21:00 Vojvodina vs Backa Topola Analysis →