Khonkaen Utd 3-1 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.99/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.93
-35% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
21.5 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khonkaen Utd
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 Passes 226
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-0 HT 0-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
19.02.2024 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
18.02.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 3-1 HT 1-1 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
16.09.2022 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
05.03.2022 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
23.10.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khonkaen Utd
3-1
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.51 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
261 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khonkaen Utd vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khonkaen Utd beat Chiangrai United 3-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Khonkaen Utd found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Khonkaen Utd had 43% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 57%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.51 to 1.34 — on chances, Chiangrai United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Khonkaen Utd and 1.17 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Khonkaen Utd vs Chiangrai United?

Khonkaen Utd 3-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khonkaen Utd vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Khonkaen Utd 30%, draw 31%, Chiangrai United 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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