BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Sukhothai — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sukhothai
TAY
BG Pathum United 4-4 Sukhothai — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United and Sukhothai shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 4-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. BG Pathum United carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 66% of the ball to Sukhothai's 34%, shots finished 28-10, expected goals 2.52 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.00 for Sukhothai.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai?
BG Pathum United 4-4 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 61%, draw 21%, Sukhothai 18%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (BG Pathum United) went the other way.