Muang Thong United 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 19%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.73/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
+32% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.0 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.94 xG 0.93
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 Passes 182
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
28.01.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 3-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
28.08.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
01.05.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-0 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
27.11.2021 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 4-1 HT 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
2-0
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
1.43 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 Passes 318
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United got the better of Nakhon Ratchasima 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 52% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 48%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.43 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.20 for Nakhon Ratchasima.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Muang Thong United 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 61%, draw 21%, Nakhon Ratchasima 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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