Metropolitanos 4-2 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.03/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.11
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.9 Crosses 18.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 229
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-2 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
23.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
12.08.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
01.04.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
4-2
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
2.17 xG 1.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
291 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos got the better of Rayo Zuliano 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 47% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 53%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.17 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.00 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Rayo Zuliano?

Metropolitanos 4-2 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 44%, draw 33%, Rayo Zuliano 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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