Rayo Zuliano 2-2 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.81/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.45
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.7 Crosses 16.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 285
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
12.08.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
01.04.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2-2
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.22 xG 1.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
280 Passes 176
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano and Metropolitanos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 58% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 42%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.22 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.33 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos?

Rayo Zuliano 2-2 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 36%, draw 32%, Metropolitanos 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano)
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