Caracas FC vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caracas FC v Monagas — Team-Based Signals
Caracas FC vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Monagas
VEN
0-2
HT 0-2
Caracas FC
VEN
0-0
HT 0-0
Caracas FC
VEN
2-2
HT 1-1
Monagas
VEN
Caracas FC 1-2 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) promised a tight game; Monagas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Caracas FC had 49% of the ball to Monagas's 51%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.85 to 1.23 — on chances, Caracas FC could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caracas FC and 0.83 for Monagas.
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Monagas?
Caracas FC 1-2 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Monagas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 40%, draw 31%, Monagas 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.