Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.61/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.39
-4% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
26.4 Crosses 11.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.42 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
287 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
29.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
26.03.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
07.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
10.04.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-1
AWAY Angostura FC
1.69 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
414 Passes 306
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello and Angostura FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 55% of the ball to Angostura FC's 45%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.69 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Angostura FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.20 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Angostura FC?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 51%, draw 26%, Angostura FC 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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