Angostura FC 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
0.97/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.99
-23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.4 Crosses 22.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.77 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
237 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
26.03.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
07.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
10.04.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
2-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.41 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
253 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 24
4 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Angostura FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angostura FC had 43% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 57%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.41 to 1.43 — on chances, Academia Puerto Cabello could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angostura FC and 1.25 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Angostura FC 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 31%, draw 32%, Academia Puerto Cabello 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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