Breidablik 4-0 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Apr 2026

Breidablik
4-0 HT 1-0
Thor Akureyri
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2026

Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
59%
+4.8pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.8pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Breidablik v Thor Akureyri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.85/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.65
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
25.0 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
The Meetings
14.03.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
06.03.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
28.09.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
02.07.2014 Breidablik Breidablik 3-2 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
19.06.2014 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
21.04.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK

Breidablik 4-0 Thor Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
4-0
AWAY Thor Akureyri
3.53 xG 1.51
63% Ball Possession 37%
28 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
490 Passes 198
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
53 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik ran out comfortable winners over Thor Akureyri 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Breidablik had 63% of the ball to Thor Akureyri's 37%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 3.53 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Breidablik and 1.17 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?

Breidablik 4-0 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 64%, draw 18%, Thor Akureyri 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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