Ceara vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ceara v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ceara 3-3 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara and Vila Nova shared the points in a 3-3 draw. From 3-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
A gentle 54% lean on Ceara didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Vila Nova saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Ceara against 1.17 for Vila Nova.
Ceara vs Vila Nova Result & Final Score
Ceara 3 - 3 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ceara vs Vila Nova Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ceara 54%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 17%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.