EM Mahdia 0-1 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 56%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EM Mahdia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY US Tataouine
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2025 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-0 HT 0-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
01.06.2022 US Tataouine US Tataouine 3-1 HT 2-0 EM Mahdia TNUSK
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Tataouine nicked a narrow win over EM Mahdia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had US Tataouine as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, US Tataouine led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for EM Mahdia and 1.50 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs US Tataouine?

EM Mahdia 0-1 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated an US Tataouine win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 22%, draw 33%, US Tataouine 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Tataouine), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (US Tataouine) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
27 Apr 2026
17:30 Hammam-Lif vs SA Menzel Bourguiba Analysis →
17:30 Sporting Ben Arous vs Megrine Analysis →
17:30 US Bouselem vs AS Agareb Analysis →
17:30 Baath Bouhajla vs Chebba Analysis →
17:30 Kerkennah vs Hammam-Sousse Analysis →
17:30 Msaken vs Sfax Railways Analysis →