Msaken 1-3 Sfax Railways — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
32%
-8.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
37%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.64/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.46
-42% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Msaken
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sfax Railways
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Sfax Railways 3-0 HT 1-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
POST-MATCH Msaken vs Sfax Railways
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sfax Railways got the better of Msaken 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sfax Railways as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Msaken vs Sfax Railways?

Msaken 1-3 Sfax Railways in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs Sfax Railways?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sfax Railways win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Msaken 24%, draw 31%, Sfax Railways 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sfax Railways) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sfax Railways) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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