Sporting Ben Arous 1-1 Megrine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Megrine EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.93/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.20
-20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Ben Arous
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Megrine
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2025 Megrine 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Ben Arous
1-1
AWAY Megrine
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Ben Arous vs Megrine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Ben Arous and Megrine shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Ben Arous at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Ben Arous had 49% of the ball to Megrine's 51%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Sporting Ben Arous vs Megrine?

Sporting Ben Arous 1-1 Megrine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Ben Arous vs Megrine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Ben Arous win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Ben Arous 42%, draw 26%, Megrine 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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