UMF Selfoss 2-2 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-9.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.6pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 50%
-20% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.38/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.73
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +94%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2025 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 5-5 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
16.07.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-4 HT 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
12.05.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
19.04.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZK
17.02.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
30.08.2018 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Selfoss and Leiknir Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UMF Selfoss and 2.33 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

UMF Selfoss 2-2 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 36%, draw 27%, Leiknir Reykjavik 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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