Fjölnir 0-5 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.2pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.12/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.53
-21% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
338 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
18.08.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
15.06.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
14.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
10.03.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
02.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
26.05.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 6-0 HT 3-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri ran out comfortable winners over Fjölnir 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fjölnir and 0.67 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri?

Fjölnir 0-5 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 22%, draw 31%, Thor Akureyri 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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