Polonya (K) 4-0 Ukrayna (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-15.2pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.7pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
5.32/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+136% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -28%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Ukrayna (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) AVKUL
26.09.2023 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) AVKUL
08.06.2017 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) 2-3 HT 1-3 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
4-0
AWAY Ukrayna (K)
2.65 xG 0.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Ukrayna (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) swept aside Ukrayna (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 64% of the ball to Ukrayna (K)'s 36%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 2.65 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polonya (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Polonya (K) and 1.00 for Ukrayna (K).

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?

Polonya (K) 4-0 Ukrayna (K) in the Friendlies on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 60%, draw 25%, Ukrayna (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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