Sparta Prag 2-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.66/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.74
+35% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.56 xG 0.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
10.11.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
18.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-5 HT 0-3 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
07.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
29.10.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.02.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Mlada Boleslav 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 46% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 54%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Sparta Prag 2-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Friendlies on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 48%, draw 26%, Mlada Boleslav 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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