Sırbistan (K) 1-3 İzlanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/1.00
+123% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY İzlanda (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.73 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 248
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.02.2024 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Sırbistan (K) Sırbistan (K) AVKUL
23.02.2024 Sırbistan (K) Sırbistan (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) AVKUL
17.09.2014 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) 9-1 HT 3-0 Sırbistan (K) Sırbistan (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan (K)
1-3
AWAY İzlanda (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sırbistan (K) vs İzlanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda (K) beat Sırbistan (K) 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day İzlanda (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sırbistan (K) had 57% of the ball to İzlanda (K)'s 43%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İzlanda (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sırbistan (K) and 4.00 for İzlanda (K).

What was the final score of Sırbistan (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Sırbistan (K) 1-3 İzlanda (K) in the Friendlies on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan (K) 33%, draw 33%, İzlanda (K) 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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