Varbergs 2-1 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.33
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
17%
4.68
X/2
9%
8.68
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.05
2/2
14%
6.1
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.17
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Östers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.04 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
164 Passes 364
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2024 Östers Östers 3-4 HT 2-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
06.04.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 1-2 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
24.02.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 1-4 HT 1-2 Östers Östers İSÇK
13.11.2022 Varbergs Varbergs 2-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İsveç - Allsvenskan - Play-out
10.11.2022 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 1-1 Varbergs Varbergs İsveç - Allsvenskan - Play-out
28.02.2022 Varbergs Varbergs 1-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇK
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs edged past Östers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varbergs as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varbergs had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Varbergs and 1.83 for Östers.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Östers?

Varbergs 2-1 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 47%, draw 23%, Östers 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
27 Jun 2026
16:00 Ljungskile vs Örebro Analysis →
18:00 GIF Sundsvall vs Östersunds FK Analysis →
18:00 United Nordic vs IK Oddevold Analysis →