Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hegelmann II v Lietava Jonava — Team-Based Signals
Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Hegelmann II 2-1 Lietava Jonava — Actual Match Statistics
Hegelmann II squeezed past Lietava Jonava 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lietava Jonava at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Hegelmann II had 48% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 52%, shots finished 14-14.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lietava Jonava led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hegelmann II and 1.50 for Lietava Jonava.
What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava?
Hegelmann II 2-1 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 21%, draw 22%, Lietava Jonava 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lietava Jonava) went the other way.