Lietava Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 46%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.37/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.10
-75% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
1-1
AWAY Hegelmann II
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava and Hegelmann II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 56% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 44%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Hegelmann II?

Lietava Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 38%, draw 25%, Hegelmann II 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lietava Jonava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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