TransINVEST Vilnius 3-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.27
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.7pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.7pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
3.50/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.42
+61% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
349 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 147 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nevezis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 4-1 HT 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
01.07.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
3-1
AWAY Nevezis
69% Ball Possession 31%
32 Total Shots 4
16 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius beat Nevezis 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 69% of the ball to Nevezis's 31%, shots finished 32-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 2.50 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Nevezis?

TransINVEST Vilnius 3-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 59%, draw 25%, Nevezis 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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