Zalgiris II 2-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.86/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.47
+25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 4-4 HT 2-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
15.04.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-1 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
2-1
AWAY Atmosfera
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II squeezed past Atmosfera 2-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Zalgiris II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 56% of the ball to Atmosfera's 44%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zalgiris II and 2.50 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Zalgiris II 2-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 32%, draw 30%, Atmosfera 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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