Minija 1-3 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

Minija
1-3
Ekranas
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

Minija vs Ekranas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minija v Ekranas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.79/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.71
+4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Minija vs Ekranas Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Minija Minija 0-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
30.03.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 HT 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
21.10.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 2-1 HT 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
03.06.2023 Minija Minija 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
17.09.2022 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas saw off Minija 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Minija at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Minija and 0.80 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Minija vs Ekranas?

Minija 1-3 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Minija 46%, draw 22%, Ekranas 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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