Hegelmann II 1-2 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
227 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
1-2
AWAY Lietava Jonava
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava nicked a narrow win over Hegelmann II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lietava Jonava found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 34% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 66%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava?

Hegelmann II 1-2 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 29%, draw 31%, Lietava Jonava 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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