Atmosfera 5-0 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.88/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.43
+29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.04.2025 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
27.08.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 4-4 HT 2-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
15.04.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-1 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
5-0
AWAY Zalgiris II
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera swept aside Zalgiris II 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Atmosfera made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Atmosfera had 44% of the ball to Zalgiris II's 56%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zalgiris II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atmosfera and 2.33 for Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Zalgiris II?

Atmosfera 5-0 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 35%, draw 29%, Zalgiris II 36%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zalgiris II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
23 Aug 2025
15:00 Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava Analysis →
15:00 BFA vs FA Siauliai II Analysis →