BFA 5-1 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
16%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.92/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.39
+5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-4 BFA BFA LIT1
03.11.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-3 BFA BFA LIT1
16.06.2024 BFA BFA 7-0 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
05.11.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-2 BFA BFA LIT1
25.06.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
18.09.2022 BFA BFA 5-1 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
5-1
AWAY FA Siauliai II
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BFA vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA cruised past FA Siauliai II 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BFA had 47% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 53%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for BFA and 1.17 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of BFA vs FA Siauliai II?

BFA 5-1 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split BFA 51%, draw 26%, FA Siauliai II 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
23 Aug 2025
15:00 Hegelmann II vs Lietava Jonava Analysis →
15:00 Atmosfera vs Zalgiris II Analysis →